Give a man a raise and you feed him for one year. Teach a man to unite for regular raises and good benefits and you’ll feed him for the rest of his life.

Feels like it’s more xenophobic. Obviously one assumes many of the referenced people are brown, but they are assumed poor too and we aren’t saying it’s classist. The thing that unites all of the people implicated in the claim is that they are foreigners.

The CEO was just conspicuously spotted with one of these a couple weeks ago, looks like it was a marketing scheme as we suspected.

He’s a paid something or other for them, why?

It’s a chance of winning, not a poll, so 64% is high but not insane. Silver is serious and it’s a decent model. Knowing the model there’s a pretty good chance this is a high point for Trump but it’s not like he’s pulling this out of nowhere, he has had similar models every election cycle since like 2008.

If it’s overstaying Trump it’s because his model is interpreting the data incorrectly because of the weirdness of this election cycle. I personally think that is likely the case here.

I suspect Harris got her “convention bounce” (as defined by the model) right when she became the nominee, this made the model think she was overperforming pre-convention and now the bounce is fading “early” when the model thinks she should still have it so it seems like she’s underperformed.

If this is the theory, knowing how close the swing states are and thus how swingy it can be, most likely this number goes back to maybe 55/45 Trump.

I saw a bird in an airport.

I read the link and saw the numbers. Is there a deeper link that disproves something I said?

If it goes down in value at the same rate as the last month or something, it’ll be ~$1 billion at the end of September. I forget the exact math but something like that.

Trump can sell his 115 million shares on September 25th, everyone trying to get out before that happens.

Absolutely wild campaign finance workaround though. If he sells it all he’s still on track to get $1 billion or so. That’s his personal wealth, which can be contributed without limit to his campaign.

I’m highly suspicious of the results, as you should always be when a group with a stated political goal releases a poll that shows their favored political goal is what a politician should do.

You have to think there was bias in the presentation, eg the question was framed particularly softly like “if Kamala announced she would abide by current US law including the Leahy Law suspending arms shipments until there is a ceasefire which would save the lives of civilians on both sides” or whatever…that is all 100% true and consistent with what they’re saying, but in real life if she did that she’d get millions of dollars of negative ads framing the decision differently.

Or maybe they just ran the poll 5 times and didn’t release the others because this one was the best result for them. That doesn’t make it an illegitimate poll, but it makes it more likely that the numbers are the high end of the potential benefit from such a stance.

One other way this poll could be true but misleading is that maybe this declaration brings her from 44% to 49%, but it puts Trump from 40% to 51%. Or whatever. It’s possible that with no clarity, she goes from 44% to 52% because you can’t literally vote undecided, and the 49% number is actually her doing worse than she would have.

I wonder who Dan Quayle is voting for

It is still a ball.

It’s Hand Ball.

And Handball, well really that’s a FUTure sport. We’ll call it…Futball!

Reddit is like this too on the app. Some of the worst algorithm recommendations I’ve ever seen. “You like (your local city subreddit), you might also like (some city you don’t live in subreddit).” Why?

The worst is that is has ruined my porn account because it doesn’t recommend NSFW subs so I have to scrape past random unrelated garbage like the Pokémon card valuation subreddit and /r/cement, I counted and it went 40 posts between NSFW posts once. On my account that is exclusively subscribed to NSFW subs.

Threads was because if you had an Instagram account it ported over.

Bluesky was the Twitter clone made by the old Twitter CEO.

Most people didn’t have a problem with Twitter being a corporation, they had a problem with the new owner of the corporation making the experience terrible with his new changes.

I very seriously tried to be a no car household, I got to one car and I just walked a mile to work, rain or shine.

But my wife was a 6 minute drive from work, but due to criscrossing highways it was entirely unwalkable and like a 40 minute bus ride.

NYC, yes. That’s the yellow on the map.

Syracuse, no.

They weren’t, it was just the example at the furthest end of the spectrum. But your framing of “if it was REALLY bad, Twitter would ban it” can not be the solution. We have legitimate governments tasked with governing based on the will of the people, it’s not better to just let Elon Musk or Mark Zuckerberg decide the law.

We don’t dislike government censorship of CSAM. it’s all a spectrum based on the legitimacy of the government order and the legitimacy of the tech billionaire’s refusal to abide.

If Al Gore had won New Hampshire he would have won even without Florida. It could be important.

That said, it’s polling more Democratic than Texas is Republican. By the time you’re likely to win New Hampshire you would have already won Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, and thus the election. Not worth putting resources into.